CTB Rune state
Can FKGVN ownership become an allocation root for a merge-mined Bitcoin descendant?
- Flashmined distribution
- Rune-gated allocation
- Fee-only miner thesis
- 977,429 allocation horizon
Bitcoin speciation · merge-mined rule histories
Not fork drama. Executable Bitcoin history.
The Forkgivening complex frames four Bitcoin-descended experiments around one constraint: miners should be able to test competing rule histories without giving up BTC mining revenue.
Core thesis
BTC remains the revenue base. Merged mining becomes the experiment layer.
Speciation here means multiple executable rule histories using Bitcoin-native claim inputs: Rune state, current BTC ownership, recent historical UTXOs, and deep historical UTXOs.
The problem
Bitcoin factions argue inside one scarce L1: Drivechain pressure, data austerity, Ordinals contamination, historical legitimacy, miner revenue, and claim inheritance all collapse into one social fight.
A single chain cannot safely perform every unresolved argument at once.
The Forkgivening move
Move the arguments into merge-mined descendants. Keep BTC mining as the center of revenue. Let old keys, Rune balances, and alternate rules become explicit claim surfaces.
Same mining event. Multiple optional Bitcoin histories.
Four fork surfaces
Four different answers to what Bitcoin history can still do.
Each branch is a different claim input and a different experimental question. The coherence is not brand similarity. The coherence is miner-compatible execution.
BTX Rule pressure
Can ECX-style demand execute beside BTC instead of forcing BTC to absorb every rule fight?
- ECX-adjacent pressure vessel
- BIP300/301 rule family context
- BTC remains center of mass
- Experiment, do not mutate BTC
BCK Recent history
Can pre-Ordinals Bitcoin state anchor a clean-history descendant?
- Pre-767,430 keys qualify
- Zero Ordinals-tainted history
- Cultural dispute becomes validation branch
- Old UTXOs become credentials
KNX Deep history
Can an early Bitcoin monetary epoch be reopened under modern merged mining?
- Pre-79,400 keys qualify
- 50 KNX per block still live
- Merge-mining or ticket lottery
- Deep UTXOs as citizenship
Claim-surface matrix
Same mining event, four different claim boundaries.
Each fork names a claim input, a cutoff in Bitcoin history, and a fail-closed boundary: allocation happens only against admissible claim state, never by fiat. None of them mutate BTC itself.
| Fork | Claim input | Qualifying cutoff | Mint / supply mechanic | Miner thesis | Boundary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTB | FKGVN Rune state | block 977,429 (allocation fixed) | Rune-gated · fee-only · flashmined (1,500,000 CTB complete at 6,930,000) | Fee-only allocation to FKGVN holders | No allocation after cutoff snapshot |
| BTX | Current BTC ownership | None — ongoing alongside BTC | ECX-adjacent pressure vessel; BIP300/301 family | Additional fee demand beside BTC, no mutation | Never forces BTC rule change |
| BCK | Pre-Ordinals UTXOs | block 767,430 | Clean-history claim; old UTXOs become credentials | Validation branch for the cultural dispute | Ordinals-tainted history excluded |
| KNX | Deep historical UTXOs | block 79,400 | 50 KNX/block still live; merge-mining or ticket lottery | Reopens an early monetary epoch under modern mining | Deep UTXOs only |
CTB two-clock model
The state crosses first. The asset materializes later.
Do not collapse the cutoff horizon and the full flashmine horizon. They are different events with different meanings.
NowFKGVN state evolves
977,429allocation fixed
6,930,0001,500,000 CTB complete
500,000
CTB tranche mapped to FKGVN state
633,340
630,000 premine + 334 mints × 10
7.89465
CTB allocation per 10 FKGVN
Interactive model
How many daily mints before one FKGVN mint stops being a CTB wholecoiner?
Adjust the assumptions. The model computes terminal FKGVN supply, CTB per FKGVN, CTB per standard 10-FKGVN mint, and the implied dilution regime.
The dilution curve
CTB per standard 10-FKGVN mint as average mint rate rises. The curve falls monotonically toward the cap floor (≈0.079 CTB at 63,000,000 FKGVN). The red line marks the 1-CTB wholecoiner boundary — minting beyond ~4,309/day breaks it.
Scenario ladder
| Scenario | Mints/day | Terminal FKGVN | CTB / FKGVN | CTB / 10 FKGVN |
|---|
Sensitivity grid — CTB per standard mint, by mint rate × allocation slice
Holding current height and supply fixed, how slice size changes allocation density. Rows are mint rates, columns are CTB allocation slices. Red cells fall below the 1-CTB wholecoiner boundary.
Blockspace pressure
Max exhaustion becomes a standing bid for Bitcoin blockspace.
The wholecoiner-breaking regime is small. The full-exhaustion regime is large. This distinction is the blockspace story.
~4,300 mints/day can push one standard FKGVN mint toward 1 CTB, but it is tiny in blockspace terms.
~61,500 mints/day can exhaust remaining public mint supply, but then it becomes a sustained fee-market event.
Control surfaces
Every boundary is fail-closed. The axis of control is explicit.
Each fork is a decision surface between claim state and allocation. The default is denial: no allocation unless the claim is admissible. BTC itself is never a mutation target.
Allocation is gated, not granted.
CTB and BCK/KNX allocate only against admissible claim state — a snapshot, a cutoff, a qualifying UTXO. There is no discretionary mint.
No claim, no allocation.
Experiments stay beside BTC, not inside it.
BTX and the rule-family pressure vessels absorb demand outside the core chain. Bitcoin's own rule set is not the experiment surface.
Mutate the descendant, not the base.
Miner revenue is the load-bearing constraint.
The whole complex is viable only if merged mining preserves BTC as the center of revenue. Any fork that breaks that assumption fails closed.
Revenue first, experiments optional.
Memetic handles
Lines that carry the idea without flattening it.
One mint. One CTB wholecoiner, unless minting goes extreme.
Not a price. Not a swap. State → allocation.
Bitcoin does not need one fork war when miners can secure many experiments.
Assumptions and sources
Built as an editable model, not a frozen oracle.
The FKGVN/CTB values are entered as working assumptions from the current Forkgivening design conversation. BIP references are linked for public technical context.
Model assumptions
- FKGVN current model supply: 633,340 = 630,000 premine + 334 public mints × 10.
- FKGVN cap: 63,000,000; standard mint: 10 FKGVN.
- CTB allocation slice modeled here: 500,000 CTB.
- CTB flashmine total: 1,500,000 CTB, complete at block 6,930,000.
- Allocation/cutoff horizon: Bitcoin block 977,429.
- Default current height: 962,835. Edit it in the calculator.
- Block capacity model: 1,000,000 vB/block for simple occupancy estimates.
- Wholecoiner break rate = (10 × slice − supply) / (days × 10); exhaustion = (cap − supply) / (days × 10).